Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.475131 4.058189 4.678463 5.384320 6.162146 6.990070 7.934846
2024-10-06 2.825575 3.666513 4.624560 5.783222 7.132906 8.642336 10.444601
2024-10-13 2.309189 3.307777 4.518588 6.062117 7.944593 10.134257 12.841204
2024-10-20 1.864948 2.943545 4.331414 6.187555 8.544163 11.378136 14.983380
2024-10-27 1.458942 2.547255 4.034232 6.117288 8.863078 12.266178 16.706456
2024-11-03 1.220398 2.334317 3.938656 6.275753 9.452283 13.484974 18.851742
2024-11-10 1.015538 2.129879 3.820089 6.375143 9.947285 14.581439 20.857531
2024-11-17 0.798753 1.861523 3.568953 6.254365 10.120659 15.248319 22.315765
2024-11-24 0.619047 1.615753 3.315678 6.097238 10.217829 15.798652 23.618165
2024-12-01 0.495819 1.444251 3.154981 6.055917 10.462336 16.539152 25.173309
2024-12-08 0.390344 1.280635 2.983369 5.976561 10.636528 17.176316 26.592910
2024-12-15 0.348776 1.244643 3.028215 6.239366 11.319466 18.529259 28.998786
2024-12-22 0.287111 1.148565 2.956756 6.313399 11.731756 19.529375 30.970939
2024-12-29 0.261052 1.134715 3.038177 6.646624 12.551107 21.127471 33.798531
2025-01-05 0.229966 1.098812 3.071667 6.897668 13.249583 22.566757 36.432102
2025-01-12 0.191403 1.028778 3.027117 7.007140 13.726130 23.692558 38.645842
2025-01-19 0.145502 0.916403 2.877985 6.916895 13.876278 24.339799 40.193518
2025-01-26 0.123151 0.873300 2.871821 7.082917 14.440971 25.605189 42.631796
2025-02-02 0.101085 0.820445 2.835701 7.187810 14.904431 26.724117 44.872793
2025-02-09 0.072794 0.723444 2.681200 7.054725 14.964287 27.233769 46.242874
2025-02-16 0.049769 0.628968 2.515012 6.882841 14.946468 27.618554 47.431553
2025-02-23 0.035675 0.566074 2.417365 6.837451 15.138156 28.322454 49.089896
2025-03-02 0.024093 0.502311 2.304767 6.750805 15.251142 28.902374 50.570184